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Plan for snow during tomorrow’s New Year’s celebrations

Sledders gathered behind Skyline Elementary School on one of 11 snow days incurred during the 2016-17 school year (December 12, 2016). Photo: My Ferndale News

As was previously forewarned, the possibility of snow accumulations in the Ferndale area remains high this weekend.

According to forecasters at the National Weather Service Seattle office, a weather system is expected to move through the area Saturday and Saturday night. “Snow could fall from Saturday evening through Sunday morning.”

Snow accumulation estimates given by forecasters and computer weather models for the Ferndale area vary from a dusting to 4″ due to the difficulties of predicting snow in the Pacific Northwest.

snowfall est per computer models 2016-12-30 0900
Snow accumulation estimates provided by multiple computer model scenarios (Black line = mean). Graphic: NWS National Centers For Environmental Prediction’s Environmental Modeling Center

On Sunday, western Whatcom can expect cold Fraser Valley outflow winds with gusts to 45mph and temperatures in the lower 30s to the lower 20s. This combination can create wind chill temperatures in the single digits.

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For Monday through Thursday, expect high temperatures in the lower to mid 30s with lows in the teens to 20s. This is about 10-15 degrees below normal.

With days of subfreezing cold following the snowfall, it is likely whatever accumulation there is by Sunday will stick around as snow and ice.

Looking at next weekend, another weather system bringing the prospect of snow is currently foreseen for next weekend (January 6th, 7th and 8th) but is too far off to accurately predict the timing and potential accumulation.

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